Estimate what your Palantir (PLTR) shares could be worth in 5 or 10 years. Compare bear, base and bull scenarios and see your potential returns.
📈 Palantir (PLTR) Stock Calculator
Pick a target year and three growth scenarios. See the projected PLTR share price, your portfolio value and your profit.
Palantir Stock Calculator: What Could Your PLTR Shares Be Worth?
Palantir (PLTR) began trading on September 30, 2020 through a direct listing on the NYSE. The reference price was $7.25 and the stock opened at $10. It joined the S&P 500 in September 2024 and moved to the Nasdaq in November 2024.
This calculator shows what your money could become under growth rates you pick. It does not predict the price. It shows what each assumption would need to be true.
Palantir Key Facts
- Listing: direct listing, September 30, 2020
- Reference price: $7.25
- Exchange: Nasdaq (NYSE until November 2024)
- Business: data software for governments and companies (Gotham, Foundry, Apollo, AIP)
- Customers: 954 at the end of 2025, up 34% from a year earlier
- Dividend: none paid since the listing
Palantir Revenue Growth
| Year | Revenue |
|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.09 billion |
| 2021 | $1.54 billion |
| 2022 | $1.91 billion |
| 2023 | $2.23 billion |
| 2024 | $2.87 billion |
| 2025 | $4.48 billion (+56%) |
In the fourth quarter of 2025, revenue was $1.407 billion, up 70% from a year earlier. For 2025, adjusted operating margin was 50% and adjusted free cash flow was $2.27 billion. Palantir guided 2026 revenue to $7.18 to $7.20 billion, about 61% growth.
PLTR Stock Price History
| Year-end | Closing price | Return that year |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $23.55 | n/a |
| 2021 | $18.21 | -22.7% |
| 2022 | $6.42 | -64.8% |
| 2023 | $17.17 | +167.4% |
| 2024 | $75.63 | +340.5% |
| 2025 | n/a | +135.0% |
The stock fell from about $45 in January 2021 to about $7 in December 2022. That is a drop of roughly 85%. Anyone who held through it saw the price recover and pass its old high in 2024.
What $10,000 Would Have Become
These examples use real past prices and held until December 31, 2024:
| Bought at | Price | Value at end of 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Direct listing reference price (2020) | $7.25 | $104,317 |
| End of 2022 | $6.42 | $117,804 |
| End of 2023 | $17.17 | $44,048 |
The same $10,000 bought at the end of 2020 ($23.55) and held to the end of 2022 ($6.42) was worth $2,726. Same stock, very different result, depending on the entry date.
How to Use the Palantir Stock Calculator
- Enter your starting investment and an optional monthly amount.
- Check the share price. It loads automatically, or you can type your own.
- Pick a target year with the slider.
- Set the bear, base and bull yearly growth rates.
- Read the projected share price, value and profit, and check the chart.
- Use “What return do I need?” to enter a goal and see the yearly growth required.
You can download the year-by-year table as CSV or copy a link to your scenario.
Which Growth Rate Should You Use?
Palantir’s revenue grew 56% in 2025, but share price growth depends on valuation too. At the end of 2024, the stock traded at about 59 times sales. A price that already expects strong growth needs even stronger results to rise further.
The Rule of 72 shows how long doubling takes:
- 5% a year: about 14.4 years
- 15% a year: about 4.8 years
- 30% a year: about 2.4 years
The S&P 500 has averaged roughly 10% a year over the long term. Test a low, a middle and a high case, and take the low one seriously.
What Moves the PLTR Price
- Commercial growth: U.S. commercial revenue grew 137% in the fourth quarter of 2025.
- Government contracts: government revenue was $1.855 billion in 2025, up 55%.
- Earnings reports: Palantir reports every quarter, and the stock often moves sharply the next day.
- Interest rates: higher rates tend to hurt stocks priced on future growth.
- AI sentiment: PLTR often follows the mood around AI software.
Risks
- High valuation: the price depends on growth continuing.
- Big swings: the stock lost about 85% from peak to low in under two years.
- Customer concentration: government contracts made up $1.855 billion of $4.475 billion in 2025 revenue.
- Stock-based pay: share issuance can dilute existing owners.
Palantir Stock Calculator FAQ
The math is exact for the rates you enter. The result is only as good as your growth assumption.
The price comes from market data and refreshes about once an hour, so it can differ slightly from your broker.
No. Returns come from the share price only.
On the Nasdaq under the ticker PLTR. It traded on the NYSE from 2020 to November 2024.
Yes. Enter a monthly amount and the calculator adds it each month.